Showing posts with label forecasting. Show all posts
Showing posts with label forecasting. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 26, 2016

Fiscal Year 2016, A Year in Review

Fiscal year 2016 was a great success for small business contractors working with the GSA. The newest numbers from the Office of Small Business Utilization (OSBU) shows that there are currently 12,367 small business within the MAS program!

Here’s the further breakdown:
Small Disadvantaged
3051
Women-owned 
3434
8A
1514
HUBZone
540
Service-disabled, Veteran-owned
1296
Veteran-owned
2284
Overall FY16 seemed to fare well for small businesses with more than $13 Billion dollars’ worth of contracts going directly to them.
The Federal Government is proving to be more frugal than ever before and is utilizing cost savings programs and cross agency spending initiatives to cut costs but not quality.
Looking at government spending in FY 2016, over $390 Billion were direct contract dollars throughout government spending (across vehicles and open bids). Spending was also slightly down from FY 2015 with the government spending $48,681,338,439 less in FY16.  Average dollars spent per year between 2008 and 2016 was $491,423,430,510 showing that FY 16 was almost a billion dollars below average over the last 8 years.

GCS is looking forward to the next fiscal year and the opportunity that it will bring to government contracts. Don’t forget that now is the best time to forecast opportunities and to start reaching out to your government contacts to make sure no stone goes unturned. We’re always here if you have any questions! 

Friday, September 25, 2015

What should you plan on for the new fiscal year?

Federal Agencies put together their budget at the end of each fiscal year for the next year. Once that budget is approved, it becomes their forecasting report. Forecasting reports differ slightly from agency to agency.  In general they are the list of goods and services that the agency will be spending their budget on throughout the year. Vendors can use these reports to get an idea which agencies have money allocated to their goods or services for the upcoming fiscal year.

So how do you go about forecasting for your company? First of all, we would suggest knowing which agencies you want to target. This can be done by looking at what agencies spent the most in your industry in previous years. USA Spending is a great resource for that information, USASpending.gov. Once you have your target list, you can begin looking at forecasting reports for those agencies. Most agencies have a page on their website dedicated to procurement. The Environmental Protection Agency’s page is a good example: EPA Procurement Forecasting Database.

Some agencies forecasting reports can be very general in the type of information they provide, whereas other are very detailed. Generally we can tell what they are forecasting (goods or services) and when they are looking at purchasing it. Some tell you how they plan on purchasing it (open competition, DoD EMall, GSA Schedule, etc.), who the technical point of contact is, the estimated value of the contract, etc.

Once you have your list of opportunities from your targeted agencies, what do you do with this information? First, we want to rank them by priority. Typically the opportunities that will be posted the soonest take first priority. We then recommend reaching out the point of contact. Whether it is the technical point of contact or the general purchasing point of contact found on the procurement page for that agency and begin a dialogue about that specific opportunity. 

When starting the dialogue you want to focus on two things, one being building a relationship with the potential buyer and the other being gathering information about the specific opportunity. The most important question to ask when inquiring about an opportunity is if there is an incumbent, if there is they should give you the name of the company. You also want to know if they are happy with them and what areas they are looking to improve. Some buyers are willing to share this with you while others are not so be prepared for a no when you ask. If there is not an incumbent than you want to find out if they plan on releasing a sources sought or RFI prior to the solicitation or if the statement of work has already been prepared. If the statement of work has not been prepared or finalized yet this means that you have a chance to offer up your industry knowledge and expertise to the buyer.

There are many different questions you can ask depending on the opportunity and the agency you are dealing with. Keep in mind the questions you ask when looking at a current solicitation and begin to ask those of the forecasted opportunities. Using forecasting reports as one tool in your government marketplace arsenal will give you the chance to be a more successful contractor. 

Wednesday, December 17, 2014

Have you made the most of the first quarter?

You’ve finished your warm ups and the National Anthem has been played, its game time. The first quarter is when you need to set the stage for the rest of the game. How is the next three quarters going to work out, do you know when you need to put your bench players in? Have you planned out what your attack strategy is? You want to know as much about the game that is being played and your opponent as possible.  
Unlike a basketball game when there are off days and an off season we don’t have that luxury so we use our first quarter for planning and answering as many questions as we can. Although there are a lot of variables that go into government purchasing being prepared as you can makes all the difference in the world. If you have not started planning it’s not too late.
You can start by answering the following questions:
  • ·         What agencies purchase what you sell?
  • ·         Who are your top competitors and what types of contracts do they hold?
  • ·         What opportunities are being forecasted in your industry?
Those three questions will take some work to find the answer to but they will give you a good picture of your season and allows you to formulate your attack plan. 

“If you fail to plan, you are planning to fail!"

Wednesday, October 8, 2014

Forecasting for Fiscal Year 2015 has begun!

With the fiscal year starting up, contractors should be on the lookout for procurement forecasts for fiscal year 2015. Major federal agencies are posting procurement forecasts that can help your business plan for bids and proposals for FY15. www.Acquisition.gov is a great place to start when looking for forecasts. You can search by agency forecast or by business opportunities to find what your business should be anticipating.
Forecasting is also a great opportunity to be reach out to contracting officers who are working on opportunities that are of interest to you. Reaching out to contracting officers is one of the best ways to connect with the people who will be advising end-users and making decisions about proposal requirements. Contracting officers are always aware that specialized contractors have knowledge on subjects they may not and will require help writing overly technical solicitation if know a competent contractor who can help.  Take a look at our webinar: Contracting Officer Best Practices.
Forecasts offer a wealth of information for potential contractors. You can learn about the method of procurement, possible ceiling values, and incumbents. Method of procurement is vital knowledge when building an approach since if the opportunity is going through GSA, you have a wealth knowledge about pricing and competition at your disposal. Ceiling values are important factors, showing you an acceptable range to price your bid. If you are over the ceiling value, most likely you won’t win and it gives you time to adjust. Incumbents are a huge source of information as well. Your business can find out details about the work and the agency by getting in touch with the incumbent and learning about how they performed the work.
Most importantly, the key to good forecasting strategy is follow up, follow up, follow up! Some opportunities will be listed for the end of fiscal year 2015 or even the start of fiscal year 2016. The sure-fire trick is to keep your businesses’ name fresh in the mind of contracting officers. Follow up every couple months. Find out how you can help. Inquire whether any other opportunities are coming up last minute.
Procurement forecasts are a great (and often underutilized) tool in the contractor toolbox. Use it to its full advantage.